Can XRP price hit $1? Watch these levels next

15 Jul 2023

The price of XRP (XRP $0.77) has skyrocketed after a federal court ruling declaring that its sales on crypto exchanges complied with United States securities laws.

XRP - Figure 1
Photo FXStreet

On July 14, the XRP price retreated by about 10% to $0.76, but compared with its lowest price the previous day, it was still up around 65%.

At its highest in the last 24 hours, the XRP/USD pair reached $0.93, its best level since December 2021, just shy of hitting the $1 mark.

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

A whale-backed XRP rally

Certain indicators show that XRP’s ongoing price pump may not be just a short-term reaction to the positive news for Ripple.

For instance, the duration of XRP’s massive pump coincides with its trading volumes reaching a 10-month high. Meanwhile, the number of XRP whale transactions — wallets holding more than $100,000 — climbed to their best level in 2023, suggesting that the wealthiest investors back the XRP rally.

XRP - Figure 2
Photo FXStreet

“If key whale and shark addresses are increasing their supply going into this pump, then it is a get foreshadowing signal that the pump may just be getting started, and it’s a sign of good things to come,” stated Brian Q, an analyst at data analytics platform Santiment.

Whale transaction count (>$100K). Source: Santiment

Furthermore, the XRP price gains come in line with a rise in the supply held by entities with a 100,000–10 million token balance.

XRP supply held by whales. Source: Santiment

In other words, whales have not sold the rally but accumulated XRP, suggesting most want to position themselves for further gains.

XRP - Figure 3
Photo FXStreet
XRP to $1 and beyond?

From a technical standpoint, XRP can test the key $1 level in the coming days, but its potential to continue its rally beyond looks weak for the time being.

Notably, the pullback on July 14 occurred near a resistance confluence comprising a multiyear horizontal trendline (purple) and a giant descending trendline ceiling (black).

In addition, XRP’s weekly relative strength index (RSI) has turned overbought, raising its correction prospects.

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Should a pullback occur, XRP price risks dropping toward its multiyear ascending trendline support near $0.45 by September, down around 55% from the current price level.

XRP - Figure 4
Photo FXStreet

Other price targets include the token’s 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA; the red wave) near $0.48 and 200-week EMA (the blue wave) near $0.50.

On the other hand, an overbought RSI could also result in the XRP price consolidating sideways inside the $0.75–$1 range.

XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

If the XRP price decisively breaks above $1, then its next price target by September will likely be near $1.35, a resistance level from the August to December 2021 session.

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XRP - Figure 5
Photo FXStreet
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