Newcastle vs Aston Villa predictions: Premier League tips and odds

12 Aug 2023
Newcastle vs Aston Villa

You can find three Newcastle vs Aston Villa tips here for Saturday’s Premier League opening weekend match at St James’ Park (kick-off, 5.30pm) from our betting expert, along with his analysis.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa betting tips Newcastle to win and both teams to score @ 5/2 with Sky BetDouglas Luiz 1+ shots on target @ 10/3 Sky BetCallum Wilson to score and Miguel Almiron 1+ shot on target @ 21/10 with Skybet

Odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Villa to play part in thriller

Newcastle and Villa both enjoyed impressive 2022-23 campaigns. The Magpies secured a place in the Champions League with a fourth-placed finish while Villa earned a crack at the Europa Conference League by ending up seventh.

It seems wise to expect that these sides will be again fighting it out for European qualification this season so Saturday’s curtain-raiser could potentially be a key game for both clubs, and Newcastle can be expected to secure maximum points with home advantage.

Newcastle manager Eddie Howe has made some impressive signings this summer, adding to an already strong squad, while Villa also enter the new season with high expectations after some eye-catching business of their own.

The Magpies were a real force at home last term, particularly in the first half of the season, and lost just twice in the league at St James' Park.

Villa, meanwhile, failed to win any of their final four away games so home advantage could prove the difference on Saturday, although Unai Emery’s visitors can at least get on the scoresheet.

Villa have scored in 22 of their 24 league and cup games in 2023 and they found the net in all of their pre-season assignments. Newcastle conceded in 10 of their final 11 games last term, so backing the hosts to win and both teams to score appeals.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa tip 1: Newcastle to win and both teams to score @ 5/2 with Sky Bet

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Luiz looks worth a shot

The shots-on-target market is popular with bet-builder backers and selecting Villa midfielder Douglas Luiz to test Newcastle keeper Nick Pope at St James’ Park appeals as a standout single wager too.

The Brazilian averaged 0.9 shots per game last season and his shooting accuracy during his time at Villa Park stands at a respectable 33 per cent.

Luiz could well be on set-piece duties for Villa on Saturday, further strengthening his case for an attempt on target.

The 25-year-old has been linked with north London rivals Arsenal and Spurs recently, but he is still expected to line up alongside Boubacar Kamara in the heart of Villa’s midfield on Tyneside despite that reported interest.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa tip 2: Douglas Luiz 1+ Shots On Target @ 10/3 Sky Bet

Bring in Wilson for 21/10 bet builder

There will undoubtedly be a lot of focus on the new players lining up for both sides on Saturday but England striker Callum Wilson remains a standout any-time goalscorer option.

The Newcastle forward scored 18 goals in 31 Premier League games last term and was on target for England in June. Bank on Wilson, who has had a productive pre-season and actually netted against the Villans in the 3-3 friendly draw, to get his campaign up and running with an opening-day effort.

Another player who has impressed for Newcastle during pre-season is Miguel Almiron. He scored against Rangers, Chelsea and Fiorentina to make him all but certain to start against Villa.

The Paraguayan was reborn under Eddie Howe last term and he ended the campaign with 11 top-flight goals, with only Wilson (18) managing more for the Magpies.

Almiron has kept that form going ahead of the new campaign and he should be able to test the goalkeeper in front of a packed St James’ Park.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa tip 3: Callum Wilson to score and Miguel Almiron 1+ shot on target @ 21/10 with Sky Bet

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa odds Newcastle @ 8/11 with Sky BetDraw @ 14/5 with bet365Aston Villa @ 18/5 with Sky Bet

Odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa team news

Newcastle 

Emil Krafth, Javi Manquillo, Joe Wilock are all out injured while Fabian Shcar is also a doubt. Sandro Tonali and Harvey Barnes are in line for their first start for their new clubs but Saturday may come too soon for Tino Livramento.

Newcastle predicted XI (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Botman, Burn, Targett; Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Barnes, Wilson, Isak

Aston Villa

The big news for Aston Villa is Emiliano Buendia will miss a significant period of the season with a knee injury while Alex Moreno and Jacob Ramsey will be missing for the trip to St. James’ Park.

Aston Villa predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Martinez; Konsa, Torres, Mings; Cash, Kamara, Tielemans, Digne; McGinn, Diaby; Watkin

Last five results

Newcastle 

Aug 6 FR Newcastle 4 Villareal 0 W

Aug 5 FR Newcastle 2 Fiorentina 0 W

July 29 FR Brighton1 Newcastle 2 W

July 27 FR Newcastle 1 Chelsea 1 D

July 24 FR Newcastle 3 Aston Villa 3 D

Netherlands

Aug 5 FR Valencia 1 Aston Villa 2 W

Aug 3 FR Aston Villa 3 Lazio 0 W

July 30 FR Aston Villa 3 Brentford 3 D

July 27 FR Fulham 0 Aston Villa 2 W

July 24 FR Newcastle 3 Aston Villa 3 D

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