Arsenal vs Crystal Palace prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets ...
Arsenal are desperate to revive their Premier League title fight as they host Crystal Palace at the Emirates on Saturday.
The Gunners have fallen off their perch atop the table thanks to a poor run of form highlighted by three defeats across their last five matches. Since beating Luton Town 4-3 on December 5, the Gunners have just a single victory across all competitions, most recently seeing them knocked out of the FA Cup at the hands of Liverpool.
They also trail the Reds in league play, sitting fourth in the table, five points back of leaders Liverpool and three points behind both Man City and Aston Villa directly above them.
Crystal Palace have their own issues to work through, as the Eagles sit 14th in the table. They are five points clear of the drop zone and they don't yet feel in danger of being sucked into the relegation scrap, but will need to be careful to avoid their position becoming more precarious.
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Moneyline lean: Arsenal (-320) Score prediction: Arsenal 2-0 Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace just simply cannot create chances at the moment. They were shut out over both FA Cup matches against Everton, and they have scored multiple goals in just two of their last 10 matches.
Worse still, in both those games (a 2-2 draw with Man City and 3-1 win over Brentford), the Eagles outscored their expected goals, relying on excellent finishing instead of chance volume. Over the long term, especially against a solid defensive structure like Arsenal, that won't bear much fruit.
Roy Hodgson's side has been mostly solid at the back despite the creative issues, but not enough to keep the Gunners out, even if they are in a bad run of form. A slip here would be quite worrisome for Mikel Arteta's side.
DraftKings(USA) Arsenal win -320 Draw +475 Crystal Palace win +850 Both teams
to score Y/N +120 / -150 Over / Under
2.5 goals -140 / +105 Arsenal
-1.5 goals -115 Crystal Palace
+1.5 goals -120 Arsenal vs Crystal Palace match facts Date: Saturday, Jan. 20, 2024 Kickoff time: 12:30 p.m. local (7:30 a.m. ET / 4:30 a.m. PT) Location: Emirates Stadium (London, England) Referee: Paul Tierney, VAR: Stuart Atwell Last meeting: Crystal Palace 0-1 Arsenal (Aug. 21, 2023 | Premier League) Arsenal vs Crystal Palace best bet Pick: Under 2.5 goals Odds: +105 (DraftKings)
With Crystal Palace mired in the aforementioned attacking slump, it would be up to Arsenal running up the score to force this match over the threshold, and it's hard to see that happening, seeing this plus-money pick sport value.
Gabriel Jesus should return for the Gunners up front after missing out against Fulham, but he's been hideous in front of goal this year, one of the Premier League's worst finishers boasting a -2.05 goals/xG differential (three goals on 2.05 xG). Even Bukayo Saka is struggling on the whole, with his six goals coming on 7.94 xG, a -1.94 differential.
In Arsenal's three-match losing streak, they've managed just one goal, but the chances are there. If and when the Gunners find their shooting boots, they'll pick up the pace, but as Crystal Palace attempt to slow this game down in any way possible, it probably won't be here — especially that Dean Henderson is back in goal. The former Man United shot-stopper sports a +1.8 xGOT/goals differential, which is 10th in the Premier League...having played just four matches.
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace prop bet Pick: Arsenal over 2.5 cards Odds: +215 (FanDuel)Paul Tierney may not be prone to letting the cards fly on a regular basis, but the Gunners are starting to show signs of weakness in their traditionally exquisite discipline.
On the season as a whole, Arsenal have been booked the fewest times of any Premier League side, and have committed the second-fewest fouls behind only Man City. Part of that comes with an overwhelming possessional dominance, but as their frustration builds, so has their mistakes.
Since the start of December, Arsenal have picked up 13 bookings in seven Premier League matches, more than or equal to nine other clubs in that span on a per-game basis, and their 10.14 fouls committed sees five other sides below or equal. Over that same time, Crystal Palace have won the third-most fouls in the league. This could be a chippy one if the Gunners are frustrated late on.
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace live stream, TV channel TV channel Streaming USA USA Network, Universo Fubo USA, Peacock, NBC Sports, Telemundo Deportes en Vivo, Universo Now Canada — Fubo Canada UK TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate discovery+This match between Arsenal and Crystal Palace will be televised in the United States on USA Network, with a Spanish-language broadcast available on Universo. Both channels are available to stream on Fubo, which offers a free trial for new users.
In Canada, the broadcast partner of the Premier League is also Fubo, who streams every single match of the 2023/24 season exclusively on its platforms.
TNT Sports has the broadcast rights to this match in the UK, with the game set to air on TNT Sports 1 with streaming available on discovery+.
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